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 Why You Should Sell Your Apple Stock Now

Why You Should Sell Your Apple Stock Now

Michael Weiss
 
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As has been evident for months, Steve Jobs is not a well man. In April, Bloomberg ran an erroneous but telling obituary of the Apple founder, which sent the company --and stockholders -- into a slight panic. And the public statements he's released since then, leading up to his just-announced six month leave of absence as CEO, have been erratic and disingenuous. He has been alternatively "fine," afflicted with a "common bug," "digestive difficulties," and a "hormone imbalance." A survivor of pancreatic cancer, which was diagnosed in 2004 and for which he had a tumor surgically removed, Jobs has recently grown alarmingly gaunt, his voice has sounded reedy, and he's handed over many of his celebrated speaking gigs to underlings who lack his charisma. Jobs was a no-show at this year's Macworld--the computer geek equivalent of a Paris Review party without George Plimpton.

Now comes word that Jobs has islet cell cancer and everyone who can type AskDoctor.com has been furiously trying to figure out if it means the end of the visionary businessman.

I asked a radiation oncologist at Dana-Farber Cancer Institute at Harvard, about Jobs' chances. She was spot-on about Ted Kennedy before the official diagnosis came out (she had nothing to do with his case, however), and so her email ought to be heeded by anyone with Apple stock:

Islet cell cancer is a funny disease. Relatively rare, sometimes curable. In this case, doesn't look like it. His appearance is one of advanced cancer. He unfortunately tried to cure it in 2004 with "diet" so delayed getting to surgery.

Jobs isn't just a chief executive, he's a tech svengali, rightly credited with reinventing his company and pushing must-have goodies, from iPods to iPhones, that have since become talismans of cultural interconnectedness. His declining health is of course tragic, and no one should feel good about playing the actuarial market that most business sections have been frantically doing all week (this, more than a housing implosion or a multi-billion dollar bailout, would have put a diabolically affirming grin on the face of Karl Marx). But Jobs' health not just the private matter he and Apple flacks have been insisting it is. As goes he, so goes Apple, and in this economy, bourgeois callousness and calculation can seem a virtue.



 

smokesteam


Surely is aint right to go speculating in public about this what you dont know for sure and using hearsay to support your idea. Seems like slander to me.




Michael Weiss

Michael Weiss


Well, it'd be libel, not slander (unless I went on TV and repeated the above), but I don't  think it amounts to even that. His islet cell cancer is now established fact, and surely speculating as to its severity is all we have to go on thanks to Apple's reticence on the matter. Kennedy, by contrast, was very forthcoming about his prognosis, as well he should have been given that he's a prominent legislator. Also -- and not that this is exactly comparable -- weren't we all curious as to John McCain's questionable health when he ran for president?





lbjack

lbjack


First, it's good to be worried about Jobs's condition.  In a cancer case, cachexias signals the end stage.  The worry isn't about Jobs but about no Jobs, as it were.  Tim Cook is a corporate maestro whom Apple couldn't have done without.  But neither could they have done without the decisive vision of Jobs.  I only hope Steve has drawn up a to-do list for the next decade or so. 

Yet, the loss of Jobs doesn't have to be a catastrophe.  Consider GE after Edison.

Second, "treatable" or not, pancreatic cancer is one of the most lethal.  A typical prognosis is in months.  That Jobs has survived this long is miraculous.  Who knows, maybe without the diet, or a robust constitution, he'd be dead already.

I despise doctors who make self-serving claims like the one cited.  Considering their own miserable incompetence, it ill-behooves them to cast aspersions on those who'd rather not be clinical lab rats.

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