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Hillary Clinton’s Totally Surefire Path To Victory

So, Bob Casey, the pro-life, pro-gun, Catholic working class white senator from Pennsylvania, has endorsed Barack Obama after previously pledging to stay neutral. Chris Dodd believes Obama's nomination is a "forgone conclusion" and strongly implies that Hillary Clinton should drop … Read More

By / March 28, 2008

So, Bob Casey, the pro-life, pro-gun, Catholic working class white senator from Pennsylvania, has endorsed Barack Obama after previously pledging to stay neutral. Chris Dodd believes Obama's nomination is a "forgone conclusion" and strongly implies that Hillary Clinton should drop out for the good of the party. Pat Leahy has come right out and said that Clinton should drop out. Even Joe Andrew, a former DNC chairman and staunch Clintonite superdelegate, is demurring on whether he'd support Clinton if she loses the national popular vote. Isn't the Clinton plan to win through superdelegate support somewhat imperiled by superdelegates not supporting her?

And sure, if you're counting by delegates won, votes won, or states won, Obama has the nomination basically sewn up. But what's so special about delegates, votes, or states? Hillary Clinton is still very much the favorite. Take a look at the map to the right and see why.

The real way to capture the Democratic nomination is to form a connected chain of states from the west coast to the east coast. All Clinton has to do is pull off an upset in North Carolina and she wins! And even if she doesn't, her brilliant blocking moves in Arkansas and Tennessee (to think I ever doubted Mark Penn's strategic genius) left Obama needing a win in Kentucky, a state where Clinton is heavily favored, to have any hope of winning. How can Barack Obama be expected to beat John McCain if he can't beat Clinton at Electoral Map Connect Four? Alert the superdelegates.

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