Fri, Dec 05, 2008

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Jewcy Book Club

This week:
and My Jesus YearDumbfounded
Welcome Authors
Benyamin Cohen
&
Matthew Rothschild
who are posting all week.
Coming up:
  • 12/08:
    Seth Greenland

 Hillary Clinton's Totally Surefire Path To Victory

Hillary Clinton's Totally Surefire Path To Victory

"Proof" that Hillary is the favorite to win
Daniel Koffler
 
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So, Bob Casey, the pro-life, pro-gun, Catholic working class white senator from Pennsylvania, has endorsed Barack Obama after previously pledging to stay neutral. Chris Dodd believes Obama's nomination is a "forgone conclusion" and strongly implies that Hillary Clinton should drop out for the good of the party. Pat Leahy has come right out and said that Clinton should drop out. Even Joe Andrew, a former DNC chairman and staunch Clintonite superdelegate, is demurring on whether he'd support Clinton if she loses the national popular vote. Isn't the Clinton plan to win through superdelegate support somewhat imperiled by superdelegates not supporting her?

And sure, if you're counting by delegates won, votes won, or states won, Obama hasHillary Clinton takes Tennessee to blockHillary Clinton takes Tennessee to block the nomination basically sewn up. But what's so special about delegates, votes, or states? Hillary Clinton is still very much the favorite. Take a look at the map to the right and see why.

The real way to capture the Democratic nomination is to form a connected chain of states from the west coast to the east coast. All Clinton has to do is pull off an upset in North Carolina and she wins! And even if she doesn't, her brilliant blocking moves in Arkansas and Tennessee (to think I ever doubted Mark Penn's strategic genius) left Obama needing a win in Kentucky, a state where Clinton is heavily favored, to have any hope of winning. How can Barack Obama be expected to beat John McCain if he can't beat Clinton at Electoral Map Connect Four? Alert the superdelegates.



 

proud pennsylvanian


The Casey endorsement is Pennsylvania politics at its best. In 1992 the Clintons barred Casey's father from speaking at the convention. That would have been the highlight of Casey Sr.'s political career. Northeastern Pennsylvanians and Catholics never forgot what the Clinton's did to our beloved Gov. I'm a Jewish Republican, but I can tell you that this issue was never forgotten by Pa. democrats.

What do they say about revenge being a dish best served cold?





scullionsky


You're not by any chance biased, are you?
Or maybe you need to read more widely?

Don't know where you're getting your news.

 

SCULLIONSKY

 





invisible_hand


in terms of delegate counts, obama won nevada and texas, so a straight across the country line will never happen.





Anonymous


5:25 - although it doesnt matter that obama won the delegate count, since hillary DID win those states, if you actually look at the map, all the states still connect. ca-az-nm-ok and so forth

sorry for bursting your bubble - i know you were trying to be a smart ass





Anonymous


Obama won more delegates from Texas than Hillary did. Texas is an Obama state.