| Illiberal Democracy in Palestine | |
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by Michael Weiss, June 18, 2007
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Michael Hirsh's only point in this Newsweek editorial on last week's Hamas seizure of Gaza hinges on what has become the conventional wisdom about Palestine: It's not ready for democracy. Isn't the Bush administration to blame for angling for legislative elections when everyone in the know and on the ground said it would lead to the ascendancy of the Islamists? Further, how does that stunning catastrophe make relevant again the old question of what to do when the democcratic process yields un-democratic results? Sometimes known as the "bullet or the ballot" dilemma, it came up previously in Algeria in the mid-90's, and one can still keep score of a person's politics by his take on how the Islamic Salvation Front should have been dealt with.
Anyway, Hirsh sheds no new light on the subject:
Why does the disaster in Gaza matter? In part because the defeat of the secular—and more moderate—Fatah forces could, along with the insurgents' success in Iraq, inspire Islamist radicals in the region and around the world. Hamas is not the Taliban, and it knows that an uptick in rocket attacks against Israel will be met with a harsh response. But, as Bush said in his second Inaugural, the whole point of promoting freedom is to blunt the hopelessness and anger that breed radicalism. Gaza faces 50 percent unemployment in the best of times. Qaeda-like splinter groups that have carried out kidnappings of foreigners have already begun to appear. Further isolating the territory is not likely to fill its residents with faith in the future.
Well, Hamas is already a Qaeda-like splinter group, likewise descendent of the Muslim Brotherhood and with an ideology formulated by middle-class university students, so that nightmare's already real. But now that the group retains total responsibility for the governance of Gaza, it may yet have fashioned a rod for its own back.
One of the longstanding concerns of Hamas's so-called "inner wing" was that it would one day be in charge of the region and have no one else to blame for the problems there. Fatah was an easy foil as an opponent, and it remained so all throughout Hamas's win in 2006 since Arafat's party still controlled security and other key services of state.
All that's changed, however, accountability for the continuing squalor and misery of Gazans shall belong to Haniyah and company and to them alone. Call it the blessings of unilateralism.
Humanitarian aid -- in the form of food, water, electric generators -- should of course be provided to the people of this clerically ruled islet on the Mediterranean, but it should be made clear to them, and to Hamas, that such aid is dependent on the largesse of external actors and NGOs.
Hamas's victory may prove to be Pyrrhic in the short term and, what is more encouraging, a complete failure in the long term.
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Michael is a contributing editor of Jewcy. His work has appeared in Slate, Gawker, New York, Democratiya, The New Criterion and The Weekly Standard. His blog is Snarksmith. More... |
Adam Shprintzen
I am surprised that...
there has been little inclination to view the Palestinian Civil War as a somewhat calculated result of the Gaza withdrawal. Essentially Israel's attempt at (in a laissez-faire sort of way) trying to get the two sides to fight one another, rather than attack within the '67 borders (in conjunction with the building of the fence). Has anyone looked into this?
mmausner
if only...
how could you possibly credit morons like Olmert and Peretz with engineering something that complicated and subtle? They couldn't handle very straightforward things like the kidnappings of Gilad Shalit in Gaza, Goldwasser and Regev in Lebanon, and they couldn't figure out how to stop Hezbollah's rockets for a month straight-- perhaps the biggest military/strategic failure in the history of Israel.
It MAY wind up helping Israel, this whole Palestinian civil war thing. It may not: it may make things FAR worse. Civil war, even quite bloody, can sometimes have a tremendously strenghthening effect on a country, by forcing organization and mobilization of resources and eventually producing battle-hardened troops to lead the next war. China is a great example: weak and divided, its civil war left it initially feeble in the face of the Japanese; yet by the time the last phase of the civil war was won by the communists, China was ready to take on and kick the crap out of the greatest military power in the world, America, in the Korean war.
Hamas and Fatah both can claim hundreds of Israelis killed at the hands of their terrorists. Whoever wins, or even a split, will both never lose sight of the overall goal of destroying Israel. I'm not sleeping any easier because they're fighting-- and I live within walking distance!!
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